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watched moneyball last night and it got me thinking… does game theory apply to sports strat? like taking unusual plays to throw off the other team. anyone got examples where this actually worked in real games?
Submitted 10 months, 3 weeks ago by QuickQuestionGT
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Game theory is not only about unusual plays; it's an essential element in decision-making processes in sports, similar to choosing strategies in a game of poker. It involves quantifying the value of different moves, considering the likely responses of opponents, and making probabilistic decisions. Coaches and players often make game-time decisions based on game theory principles, whether they realize it or not. A concrete example would be NFL teams increasingly going for two-point conversions in situations that traditional coaching would avoid. This shift is the result of statistical analyses and game theory models showing the long-term benefit despite the apparent risk.
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Ever seen a hockey team pull the goalie super early when they're behind? That’s game theory action. Super risky but the payoff can be huge if it works. Saw it work in an NHL game last season, team scored two goals in the last minute to tie it up.
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From a statistical standpoint, game theory's influence in sports is undeniable. We see this especially with the increase of analytics in games like basketball and baseball. It's all about maximizing expected value for each play. Like the shift in baseball, it was pretty groundbreaking and it comes right outta the game theory playbook. Teams gather data on hitters' tendencies and shift their infield to play the odds. Traditionalists hate it, but numbers don't lie.